
It's tempting to believe that scientists pursue research this way: 'Eureka! A spot on MRI! Nobel, here I come!'. In general, scientists don't do this and most realize that their grant could never be funded this way.
The NIH does give priority scores to indicate a project's novelty, originality and scientific merit, but as any study group at the NIH will tell you, understanding what's normal is a key component to whether the research is funded. Normal, in this case, is the control group - and characterizing this group of people defines what's abnormal.
As an example, Dr. Subramanian hypothesizes that atherosclerotic plaques have higher tau-score on MRI. Dr. Subramanian has investigated tau-score in vitro and realizes that it correlates well with atherosclerotic fat content and suspects that high tau-score can be used to characterize plaque risk.
Should Dr. Subramanian...
A. Quantify tau-score among 40 patients with heart disease?
B. Correlate tau-score with the gold standard in patients with heart disease?
C. Quantify tau-score among 40 healthy normal subjects.
A, B and C are all necessary to fully characterize the disease and tau-score. In fact, scientists look at a healthy population all the time to estimate the sensitivity and specificity of the diagnostic technique. How specific and sensitive is the technique, if 40% of healthy normal subjects have an atherosclerotic plaque with high tau-score and apparently high fat content? Specificity and sensitivity scoring is ubiquitous to MRI and science in general.
It is true that we have actually surpassed our capacity to interpret the results of diagnostic imaging. This doesn't preclude scientists from doing good research, but suggests only that more scientists should use imaging as a tool.
